Posts Tagged bias

Where to meet girls accurately?

As someone looking for a virtuous girl, I have been working under the assumption that Church is a relatively good place to meet girls. After all, girls that go to church are likely to be (or want to be) of a virtuous nature. But I must admit to at least one flaw with this strategy, which was brought to my attention by Daniel Kahneman’s excellent book “Thinking, fast and slow.” First impressions last.

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Statistical intuition fails

Has your intuition ever failed you? Mine sometimes has (and I call myself a mathematician). In this post from my blog  J delta rho I relate one such case and what it means for traders.

I am ashamed to say that my statistical intuition has failed me. I was doing some brainteasers and came across this one here :

In a country in which people only want boys every family continues to have children until they have a boy. If they have a girl, they have another child. If they have a boy, they stop. What is the proportion of boys to girls in the country?

read more here.

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Don’t trust research, not even your own

The more research I do (and I have not done much) the less I trust other research, and the less I trust my own.  When you read a paper in finance you will invariably find significant results that support the author’s conclusions.  When I run regressions, my results are weak, sometimes contradicting my hypothesis sometimes confirming it.

Read more of this post on my other blog, J delta rho, here….

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